Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 76.072668 85.409937 94.983590 105.502635 116.705448 128.251107 141.020607
2025-01-05 62.900025 76.431341 90.938848 107.524887 125.841779 145.340184 167.554699
2025-01-12 53.208284 68.813510 86.128060 106.507884 129.595885 154.718008 183.901796
2025-01-19 44.880418 61.639073 80.843860 104.052997 130.941368 160.751179 195.946139
2025-01-26 41.483289 59.746117 81.205036 107.656626 138.806249 173.804572 215.596979
2025-02-02 38.158684 57.549828 80.884507 110.180958 145.195836 185.007931 233.024726
2025-02-09 33.591487 53.371072 77.811768 109.110742 147.109301 190.850946 244.148128
2025-02-16 29.623603 49.604533 74.948726 108.028247 148.783746 196.237556 254.597958
2025-02-23 26.986104 47.368612 73.825183 108.924944 152.707999 204.171302 267.946343
2025-03-02 24.247111 44.755000 72.025065 108.812515 155.274016 210.398942 279.222521
2025-03-09 22.099038 42.790039 70.932023 109.477764 158.704810 217.596543 291.604615
2025-03-16 19.516168 39.966698 68.512384 108.282948 159.700075 221.767589 300.316387
2025-03-23 18.039990 38.716272 68.197872 109.836768 164.191257 230.265571 314.339504
2025-03-30 16.827685 37.774596 68.247429 111.832011 169.228270 239.441889 329.216922
2025-04-06 14.834353 35.398657 66.126186 110.802266 170.302443 243.674925 338.063137
2025-04-13 12.640740 32.460552 63.018373 108.285147 169.335402 245.286999 343.646672
2025-04-20 12.258374 32.600593 64.427035 111.977470 176.472537 257.026718 361.655735
2025-04-27 11.630056 32.244427 65.055650 114.562994 182.149229 266.943082 377.447547
2025-05-04 10.192721 30.267507 63.119463 113.466890 182.899157 270.614460 385.514970
2025-05-11 8.893668 28.396075 61.236412 112.358100 183.565113 274.132333 393.360245
2025-05-18 8.124083 27.476597 60.794575 113.276586 186.924968 281.066670 405.454194
2025-05-25 7.224314 26.181730 59.678262 113.161429 188.850108 286.144040 415.222078
2025-06-01 6.544704 25.269194 59.131443 113.842802 191.834912 292.572260 426.683485